MD 1462 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEASTERN COLORADO…SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA…NORTHWESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1462
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Areas affected…northeastern Colorado…southwestern
Nebraska…northwestern Kansas
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible
Valid 282056Z – 282300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…40 percent
SUMMARY…Isolated to scattered high based storms to develop through
the afternoon/evening with potential for damaging winds and large
hail.
DISCUSSION…Visible satellite shows a region of towering cumulus
across southeastern Wyoming into the Front Range in Colorado, with a
few recent attempts at thunderstorm initiation. This largely region
remains under the influence of mid-level capping, though recent
radar observations did indicate cells producing lightning briefly in
the Nebraska panhandle. Trends in cumulus development and several
initiation attempts indicate mid-level capping may be eroding, with
potential for additional thunderstorm development within the next
1-2 hours. Low-level moisture is meager, with high-based elevated
cells expected that likely need to move into the richer low-level
moisture and increasing deep layer shear to the east across western
Nebraska/Kansas before become more organized. Damaging winds and
large hail will be possible. This area is being monitored for trends
for watch potential through the afternoon/evening.
..Thornton/Gleason.. 06/28/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…LBF…DDC…GLD…BOU…CYS…
LAT…LON 40410440 40690431 41760277 41720214 41590120 40820075
40080051 39320049 38590067 38510157 39290326 40000446
40410440
