MD 1531 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 502…504… FOR NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL KS AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NE
Mesoscale Discussion 1531
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0855 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024
Areas affected…northwest/north-central KS and south-central NE
Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502…504…
Valid 040155Z – 040330Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502, 504
continues.
SUMMARY…Strong to severe wind gusts of 50-70 mph along with
marginal hail from 0.75-1.25 inches in diameter will remain possible
over the next couple hours across parts of northwest to
north-central Kansas and south-central Nebraska. An additional
severe thunderstorm watch farther east appears unlikely.
DISCUSSION…A recent uptick in the trailing portion of a
predominately non-severe QLCS occurred in far southwest NE, yielding
a measured severe gust of 55 kts at the McCook ASOS. This portion of
the line appears likely to merge with a more north/south-oriented
cluster over northwest KS which has produced a measured strong gust
of 46 kts at the Colby AWOS. The thermodynamic environment
immediately downstream is still favorable for occasional
intensification during the next hour or so. But towards 04-05Z, the
combination of increasing MLCIN and diminishing buoyancy with
eastern extent suggests the severe wind threat should wane east of
north-central KS.
..Grams.. 07/04/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…OAX…TOP…ICT…GID…DDC…GLD…
LAT…LON 40360005 40449972 40649905 41269835 41479780 41249715
40559728 39469786 39159831 38829909 38820002 38870087
39570068 40360005
