SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0649 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...01z Update... Southern-stream upper low is beginning to eject across northern Mexico. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts this feature well and scattered thunderstorms have developed ahead of the primary midlevel vort just south of the international border. Isolated thunderstorms are noted north of the border across southeast AZ, but this activity should gradually weaken over the next few hours. However, stronger forcing is expected to aid elevated convection that will spread across portions of far West TX this evening and thunderstorm probabilities will reflect this risk through at least 06z tonight. Downstream, warm advection will continue to be the primary mechanism for more sporadic thunderstorms atop the cooler polar air mass. Additionally, boundary layer destabilization will be retarded across the lower MS Valley through 12z, and for this reason robust thunderstorms are not forecast. ..Darrow.. 01/25/2026
