MD 0745 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 226…229… FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…SOUTHERN GEORGIA…NORTHERN FLORIDA
Mesoscale Discussion 0745
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0411 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024
Areas affected…Far Southeast Alabama…Southern Georgia…Northern
Florida
Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226…229…
Valid 100911Z – 101115Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226, 229
continues.
SUMMARY…A wind-damage, hail and isolated tornado threat will be
likely across parts of the eastern Gulf Coast region this morning.
As a severe MCS approaches the eastern edge of WW 229, new weather
watch issuance may become necessary.
DISCUSSION…The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a well-developed
severe MCS from the far western Florida Panhandle into far southeast
Alabama. This feature will continue to move east-southeastward along
a gradient of moderate instability across the Florida Panhandle and
southern Georgia. The latest WSR-88D VWP at Tallahassee, FL has 0-6
km shear of 55 to 60 knots suggesting that supercells and bowing
line segments will be likely within the stronger parts of the MCS.
The VWP also has 0-3 km storm-relative helicity near 150 m2/s2 which
should be sufficient for an isolated threat for a brief tornado. The
severe threat is expected to impact southeast Georgia and the
northern Florida Peninsula within a few hours, where weather watch
issuance may be needed.
..Broyles/Guyer.. 05/10/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…TBW…JAX…FFC…TAE…BMX…
LAT…LON 30768144 31338183 31788294 32158390 32308469 32108515
31778546 31378569 31018578 30708576 30368543 30008479
29398325 29188232 29258176 29848139 30768144
