SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CST Mon Dec 01 2025 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are expected through Tuesday across the Southeast to the Atlantic Coastline. A damaging gust or brief tornado are possible Tuesday morning along the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will impinge on the Atlantic Coastline, with a surface low poised to rapidly translate northeast from the eastern Gulf Coast toward the New England coast tomorrow (Tuesday). During the first half of the period, low-level warm-air advection ahead of and to the north of the surface low will support primarily elevated buoyancy overspreading the Southeast and Carolina coastlines. Widespread rainfall with embedded thunderstorms are likely through 00Z Wednesday. ...FL Panhandle... During the first few hours of the period (e.g. 12-16Z Tuesday morning), a few strong to isolated severe thunderstorms (remnant from the Day 1 period) may be ongoing along the FL Panhandle region. Large, curved, and elongated hodographs may precede the ongoing storms amid scant surface-based buoyancy within the warm-air advection regime. Over 500 J/kg MLCAPE may overlap with 200-400 m2/s2 0-3 km SRH along the western fringes of a departing low-level jet, supporting a risk for a damaging gust or perhaps a brief tornado. ..Squitieri.. 12/01/2025
