SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1031 AM CST Tue Feb 03 2026 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected on Wednesday or Wednesday night. ...Discussion... A highly amplified upper pattern is anticipated Wednesday with a longwave trough over the East and an anticyclone/ridge in the West. A positive-tilt shortwave impulse digging through the basal portion of the trough will yield weak cyclogenesis over the Southeast. A surface cold front will trail southwestward from this cyclone into the northwest Gulf on Wednesday morning. A combination of 50s boundary-layer dew points and weak mid-level lapse rates should support only scant surface to slightly elevated buoyancy near the front. Low thunder probabilities are apparent during the morning to afternoon, along a portion of the Gulf Coast from far southeast LA to the FL Panhandle. The paucity of instability and modest lower-level shear should minimize severe-storm potential. ..Grams.. 02/03/2026
