Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0634 AM CST Wed Feb 04 2026
Valid 041300Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.
...Synopsis...
Morning surface analysis places a cold front pushing southeast
across the northeast Gulf Coast southwestward through the Gulf of
America. As an upper trough over the lower MO Valley/southern Great
Plains pivots southeast into the central Gulf Coast, it will drive
the front into central portions of the FL Peninsula late tonight.
Scant buoyancy mainly over the FL Panhandle vicinity this morning
may yield a few weak thunderstorms before this activity diminishes
as it moves east into a more stable airmass. Elsewhere, quiescent
conditions for thunderstorms will prevail.
..Smith/Jewell.. 02/04/2026