SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1104 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast. ...South Florida... Pronounced upper trough will dominate the eastern CONUS during the upcoming day2 period. Latest model guidance suggests a strong surface front will have advanced across all but the southern most part of the FL Peninsula by 15/12z, then quickly surge offshore around 18z. At this time it appears the prospect for deep convection, capable of generating lightning, will be minimal as poor lapse rates and westerly flow ahead of the front do not look favorable for thunderstorms. Forecast soundings depict weakly buoyant profiles that rapidly stabilize by mid morning across the southern Peninsula. Thunderstorm probabilities are less than 10 percent. ..Darrow.. 01/14/2026
