SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are expected on Saturday. ...Synopsis... A large-scale upper trough oriented from the Upper Midwest to the southern Rockies will pivot east on Saturday, becoming positioned from the Great Lakes to the western Gulf by Sunday morning. At the surface, a cold front will sweep east/southeast across the Midwest and southern Plains. Gulf moisture will remain cut-off, precluding thunderstorm activity for most of the CONUS. With the approach of the upper trough and stronger height falls, low pressure may develop near the FL Straits and toward the Bahamas late in the period. Sufficient boundary layer moisture will exist to support weak buoyancy amid increasing southwesterly flow above 700 mb. This could foster a couple of thunderstorms approaching the upper FL Keys to the southeast coastal FL Peninsula after 06z, though the bulk of any thunderstorm activity should mainly remain offshore. Severe storms are not expected. ..Leitman.. 01/16/2026
