SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026 Valid 262000Z - 271200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are expected. ...Discussion... Occasional lightning occurred earlier today near the Florida coast with a weak line of storms that developed along the cold front. This convective line has weakened/moved far enough offshore to bring an end to any thunder potential across Florida. A dry, continental-polar airmass, which has now become established across much of the CONUS, will continue to limit any thunderstorm potential. ..Bentley.. 01/26/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0950 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026/ ...Discussion including South Florida... Longwave trough will remain prevalent east of the Rockies, with some late-day amplification of the upper ridge into the West in advance of an approaching shortwave trough. High pressure and cold/continental trajectories will extensively prevail east of the Rockies, with an exception being ahead of a cold front crossing the Florida Peninsula. While near-frontal convergence will remain weak, and mid-level lapse rates are poor, additional boundary layer warming and deepening convection may be conducive for a few lightning flashes, mainly near parts of the coastal southeast Florida Peninsula through afternoon.
