SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CST Fri Jan 09 2026 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A few severe thunderstorms are forecast on Saturday across the central Gulf Coast and Southeast. ...Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast... Along and south of an outflow-reinforced cold front extending across central AL into southern MS, scattered thunderstorms will be ongoing across the central Gulf Coast into the Southeast at the start of the period. These storms will generally be focused along a 30-40-kt southwesterly low-level jet and ahead of a northeastward-moving frontal wave. Despite modest buoyancy, ample boundary-layer moisture (middle/upper 60s dewpoints) and around 50 kt of effective shear will continue to promote organized storm clusters, to include the potential for a couple supercells. Damaging winds will be a concern, though enlarged clockwise-curved low-level hodographs (upwards of 200-250 m2/s2 effective SRH) within the moist axis will yield some risk for a couple tornadoes as well. The tornado risk will be largely dependent on the degree of convective overturning in the warm sector. The window of greatest severe risk appears to be from 12Z-18Z -- before low-level flow veers ahead of the approaching front and departing frontal wave. A SLGT risk was added for this corridor of heightened severe potential. Thunderstorms will generally spread northeastward across GA into the Carolinas in tandem with the northeastward-advancing low-level jet and frontal wave, where they will eventually outpace the surface-based warm sector during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 01/09/2026
