MD 1091 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 358… FOR CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Areas affected…Central to southeast TX
Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358…
Valid 310820Z – 310945Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358
continues.
SUMMARY…A severe wind threat will persist through daybreak with a
bowing QLCS and expand into parts of east-central to southeast
Texas. An additional severe thunderstorm watch is expected to parts
of the Southeast Texas Coastal Plain. Wind gusts of 50-65 mph will
remain likely with localized enhancements of 65-80 mph possible.
DISCUSSION…A bowing QLCS has accelerated in forward motion across
central TX to around 45-50 kts, with measured wind gusts to 62 mph
reported thus far. This eastward surge along the northeast portion
of the QLCS will likely persist into east-central TX before it
impinges on remnant stratiform rain and greater low-level stability
over northeast TX.
A secondary bowing surge may eventually emanate out of the trailing
southwest portion of the QLCS. Persistent deep convection here is
about to impinge on the warmer/more moist boundary-layer west of
Austin. This may similarly begin to intensify and surge
southeastward through the greater Austin area and eventually towards
the Houston Metro area. With favorable low-level inflow and
pronounced enhancement to rearward flow based on time-series of DYX
VWP data, it is appears likely that an organized QLCS will continue
towards the southeast TX Coastal Plain through daybreak.
..Grams/Thompson.. 05/31/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…SHV…HGX…FWD…EWX…SJT…
LAT…LON 32199761 32139718 32049667 31899597 31599518 30999481
30529474 30209479 29609506 29349671 29949799 30239870
30679920 30969887 31209796 31469773 32199761
