MD 1546 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA…SOUTHWEST IOWA…NORTHEAST KANSAS…NORTHWEST MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 1546
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0500 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024
Areas affected…Southeast Nebraska…Southwest Iowa…Northeast
Kansas…Northwest Missouri
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch likely
Valid 062200Z – 062300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…80 percent
SUMMARY…New severe thunderstorm watch appears warranted for
portions of southeast Nebraska region.
DISCUSSION…Organized complex of severe thunderstorms has matured
over south-central Nebraska late this afternoon. This MCS is
propagating east into a reservoir of strong buoyancy represented by
MLCAPE values on the order of 1500 J/kg. LLJ is forecast to increase
across northeast KS into southeast NE over the next few hours which
should encourage downstream propagation and longevity of the MCS.
Large hail and damaging winds are expected and a new severe
thunderstorm watch appears warranted.
..Darrow/Hart.. 07/06/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…EAX…OAX…TOP…GID…
LAT…LON 41049721 41199544 40099521 39799683 40049776 41049721
