MD 1554 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR UPPER TEXAS COAST
Mesoscale Discussion 1554
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1027 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024
Areas affected…Upper Texas Coast
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible
Valid 080327Z – 080600Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent
SUMMARY…Tornado threat is expected to increase across the upper
Texas Coast later tonight as Tropical Storm Beryl advances north.
DISCUSSION…Tropical Storm Beryl is advancing steadily north toward
the upper TX Coast late this evening. Over the last few hours,
organized outer convective bands have begun to spread inland, and
there have been a few stronger supercells that have moved onshore
over Brazoria into southeast Matagorda County. VWP data from HGX
exhibits gradually increasing low-level shear with 0-3km SRH now on
the order of 250 m2/s2. Low-level shear should increase markedly
over the next several hours, and there is some concern that embedded
supercells will become more common with these bands.
..Darrow/Hart.. 07/08/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…LCH…HGX…CRP…
LAT…LON 28939662 29879568 30299430 29789360 29119484 28409623
28939662
