MD 0173 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR OHIO…FAR SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA…NORTHWEST WEST VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0173
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0325 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024
Areas affected…Ohio…Far Southwest Pennsylvania…Northwest West
Virginia
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch likely
Valid 280925Z – 281030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…80 percent
SUMMARY…An isolated severe threat will continue for several hours
across parts of the Ohio Valley this morning. Wind damage, hail and
perhaps a brief tornado or two will be possible. A new weather watch
will need to be issued soon across the region.
DISCUSSION…The latest high-resolution radar imagery from
Wilmington, Ohio shows a line of organizing storms located from
southwest Ohio into southwest Indiana. This line is being supported
by lift associated with a cold front, and shortwave trough evident
on water vapor imagery. The line will continue to progress
east-southeastward over the next several hours, with convection
moving eastward across the remainder of southern Ohio. Weak
instability, along with about 80 kts of 0-6 km shear, evident on the
Wilmington, Ohio WSR-88D VWP, will support an isolated severe
threat. A potential for wind damage and hail will exist with the
stronger cells embedded in the line. A brief tornado or two will be
possible, mainly with rotating cells within or ahead of the stronger
parts of the line.
..Broyles/Goss.. 02/28/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…PBZ…RLX…CLE…ILN…
LAT…LON 39868028 39098085 38468200 38428290 38688331 39318326
40298333 40778291 40978174 40858039 39868028
