MD 0210 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 33… FOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE…EXTREME SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…MUCH OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0210
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0458 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024
Areas affected…Florida Panhandle…extreme southeast
Alabama…much of southern Georgia
Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 33…
Valid 091058Z – 091430Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 33
continues.
SUMMARY…The risk of brief tornadoes continues over WW 33, and may
spread across the remainder of southern Georgia this morning.
Depending on storm trends, a new watch could be needed farther east.
DISCUSSION…Storms continue to track along an outflow-reinforced
boundary, from the western FL Panhandle across far southeast AL and
into southwest GA. Transient/embedded supercells have been noted at
times within the SW to NE oriented line, with primarily bowing
structures. Cells continue to move quite rapidly eastward at roughly
50 kt.
Surface analysis shows increasing dewpoints into southern GA, where
pressure falls are focusing. In addition, surface winds are becoming
gusty at 15-20 kt, indicating boundary-layer mixing and coupling
with the stronger flow just off the surface. Indeed, area VWPs show
500 meter winds of 35-40 kt, which is contributing to 0-1 SRH values
over 300 m2/s2 over GA and into northern parts of the FL Panhandle.
While MLCAPE is only averaging 500-750 J/kg, the impressive
kinematic fields, combined with a focused corridor of storms
suggests increasing potential of a tornado or two. Inflections
within the line or mesolows will be favored area for brief
tornadoes. As such, an additional watch may be needed across much of
southern GA, essentially extending WW 33 east/northeast.
..Jewell.. 03/09/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…CHS…JAX…FFC…TAE…
LAT…LON 30348614 30838607 31248541 31558456 31708378 32008311
32238277 32348216 32198155 31618108 31158155 30758283
30528465 30348614
