MD 2169 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 695…696… FOR SOUTHEAST KS AND FAR NORTHEAST OK/SOUTHWEST MO
Mesoscale Discussion 2169
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
Areas affected...southeast KS and far northeast OK/southwest MO
Concerning...Tornado Watch 695...696...
Valid 302357Z - 310100Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 695, 696 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe wind and tornado threats are increasing across
southeast Kansas into adjacent portions of Missouri and Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...Discrete cells have recently increased across northeast
OK, ahead of the linear convective band farther west along the
composite outflow/cold front. These cells appear to be on the
leading edge of slightly richer low-level moisture and a few of them
should deepen into supercells shortly within rather favorable
deep-layer shear per the Tulsa VWP. While severe wind potential
should remain the primary hazard in terms of coverage as the
upstream linear band shifts east-northeast, the tornado threat
should increase as these cells become absorbed into the line, where
surface dew points at or above 63 F can be maintained. This appears
most probable across parts of far northeast OK into southeast KS
through 03Z.
..Grams/Hart.. 10/30/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 36719598 37349586 37789584 38029554 38099508 37949472
37759445 37469441 36779495 36469563 36719598
