MD 2219 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO…FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO…AND THE WESTERN OK PANHANDLE.
Mesoscale Discussion 2219 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0623 AM CST Fri Nov 08 2024 Areas affected...southeast Colorado...far northeast New Mexico...and the western OK Panhandle. Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 081223Z - 081630Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow will develop across southeast Colorado and vicinity this morning. DISCUSSION...An upper-level low across New Mexico has started to become negatively tilted this morning. As this has occurred, a broad region of ascent has overspread the southern Plains, evidenced by widespread lightning activity. In addition, strong frontogenesis across the Texas Panhandle has resulted in a more focused region of ascent. The heavier precipitation associated with this enhanced area of UVV will migrate northwestward into the cold airmass across southeast Colorado over the next few hours. In addition, a easterly low-level jet, currently around 35 knots (per DDC VWP) and expected to strengthen to around 45 knots, will result in strengthening isentropic ascent. The combination of these factors will result in a favorable region across southeast Colorado and vicinity with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour, likely starting between 13Z and 14Z. ..Bentley.. 11/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ... LAT...LON 36440403 37140450 38360471 38920453 39550311 39530235 39220194 38040196 36830208 36290236 36020315 36440403