SPC MD 38

SPC MD 38

MD 0038 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 5…7… FOR NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA…AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA.

Mesoscale Discussion 0038
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0302 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024

Areas affected…northern South Carolina…central North
Carolina…and southern Virginia.

Concerning…Tornado Watch 5…7…

Valid 092102Z – 092230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 5, 7 continues.

SUMMARY…A broken line of storms continues east with a threat for
damaging wind gusts and potential for brief tornadoes.

DISCUSSION…A broken line of storms continues to move east across
central South Carolina and central North Carolina with a history of
producing damaging wind gusts. Lightning has lessened within the
last few hours along this line as it moves east of the greater
forcing and into a less buoyant airmass. However, some
reintensification of the line has recently been observed near the
South Carolina/North Carolina border, likely as a result of the
approaching synoptic front. This was well forecast by the last
several runs of the WoFS which also persist this well organized line
to the South Carolina and North Carolina coast this evening. The
best potential for supercellular tornadoes (and strong tornado
potential) still exists with strong supercells moving off of the
Gulf (see MCD 36), however, there remains some potential for
tornadic producing supercells ahead of the squall line through the
evening. Watch 7 may need to be expanded to the coast in eastern
North Carolina and southeast Virginia if discrete development ahead
of the line indicates it may move into that region.

..Bentley/Hart.. 01/09/2024

…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…AKQ…MHX…RAH…ILM…RNK…CHS…CAE…GSP…

LAT…LON 33837779 33777830 33667882 33197904 32707971 32568029
32728089 33098080 33998054 34888041 36327956 37277883
37457806 37327711 36927598 36077561 35647538 35157551
34787620 34567647 34497687 34407741 33837779

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