SPC MD 70

SPC MD 70

MD 0070 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA

Mesoscale Discussion 0070
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

Areas affected…Eastern Florida Peninsula

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely

Valid 152256Z – 160000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…5 percent

SUMMARY…A localized threat for a brief tornado is expected to
continue in the short-term. Any threat should remain too marginal
for weather watch issuance.

DISCUSSION…Latest high-resolution radar imagery shows a supercell
ongoing in Martin County, Florida. WSR-88D VWPs along the Florida
east coast suggest veering winds with height in the lowest 2 km
above ground level, with some speed shear in the low to mid-levels.
Low-level shear may also be strengthened by frictional effects
associated with the coastal vicinity. In addition, the storm is
located near a boundary helping to increase low-level convergence.
The cell will continue to approach the coast over the next half
hour. Additional cells may develop, and could be associated with an
isolated/brief tornado threat due to the localized enhancement of
low-level shear. However, any threat is expected to remain marginal,
and not sufficient for tornado watch issuance.

..Broyles/Goss.. 01/15/2024

…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…MLB…

LAT…LON 27078008 26998037 26988054 27058069 27188073 27318069
27408059 27458036 27478017 27378005 27168003 27078008

Read more

Read More