MD 0749 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN
Mesoscale Discussion 0749
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024
Areas affected…portions of eastern Minnesota into western and
central Wisconsin
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 102332Z – 110030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…5 percent
SUMMARY…A severe gust or two may accompany the stronger storms
until around sunset. A WW issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION…Multiple low-topped, high based thunderstorms have
percolated in intensity behind the surface cold front over the past
few hours, and these storms continue to move southeast atop a
dry/mixed boundary layer. 23Z mesoanalysis shows 8.5+ C/km 0-3 km
lapse rates preceding the storms, which may foster adequate
evaporative cooling beneath the stronger storm cores to support a
couple of damaging gusts until around sunset. However, since the
severe risk is expected to be sparse, a WW issuance is not
anticipated.
..Squitieri/Hart.. 05/10/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…GRB…MKX…DLH…ARX…MPX…
LAT…LON 46969257 45178984 43678921 42909002 42899091 43429206
44349330 45229410 45859432 46469414 46969257
