MD 0758 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR EASTERN COLORADO…WESTERN KANSAS…OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 0758
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0132 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
Areas affected…Far eastern Colorado…western Kansas…Oklahoma
Panhandle
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 121832Z – 122030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…5 percent
SUMMARY…Landspouts along with marginally severe hail/wind gusts
are possible this afternoon.
DISCUSSION…Convection is developing in the Raton Mesa vicinity. As
surface temperatures continue to rise, low-level buoyancy will
maximize within the next few hours. The vertically stacked
surface/upper-level lows will provide ambient vorticity. A few
landspouts will be possible as storms develop through the afternoon.
Cold temperatures aloft and steep lapse rates through the
troposphere will also promote some risk for marginally severe hail
and wind gusts.
..Wendt/Thompson.. 05/12/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…DDC…GLD…AMA…PUB…
LAT…LON 36680250 37540267 38910231 39560197 39610142 39080095
37050105 36580150 36500188 36680250
