MD 0809 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 250… FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN INTO CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0809
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024
Areas affected…the Permian Basin into central Texas
Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250…
Valid 170054Z – 170230Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250
continues.
SUMMARY…The damaging wind and large hail threat will persist this
evening.
DISCUSSION…A well formed line of storms which produced significant
wind damage in parts of Midland has grown upscale as it continues to
accelerate east. This will continue to pose a threat for 70 to 80
mph wind gusts as it moves east. Ahead of this line, a strong
supercell which has a history of 2.75 to 3 inch hail continues to
move east. This supercell and the squall line are both moving toward
better instability. Additional cells are forming between the squall
line and the mature supercell, but it is still uncertain if any
additional well established supercells can develop. Given the more
favorable downstream environment and the synoptic support from the
upper-level wave, expect the threat from the squall line and any
leading supercells to continue for at least a few more hours.
..Bentley.. 05/17/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…SJT…MAF…
LAT…LON 31000187 31470196 32270167 32079971 31439902 30599899
30530014 30650131 30840174 31000187
