SPC MD 848

SPC MD 848

MD 0848 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265…266… FOR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA

Mesoscale Discussion 0848
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Areas affected…north-central and northeastern Oklahoma

Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 265…266…

Valid 200642Z – 200845Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 265, 266
continues.

SUMMARY…Severe-weather risk will continue across portions of
north-central and northeastern Oklahoma — largely within WW 266.

DISCUSSION…Latest radar loop shows a cluster of strong/locally
severe storms ongoing across north-central and into northeastern
Oklahoma — in the far southeastern corner of soon-to-expire WW 265
and western portions of WW 266.

Storms continue to regenerate on the southwestern flank of the
convection, resulting in a slow southward drift to the convection.
This is occurring as a strong (near 60 kt) southwesterly low-level
jet continues to provide a feed of high theta-e air atop low-level
convective outflow.

With deep-layer shear favorable for organized/rotating storms,
expect local/isolated — but all-hazard — severe risk to persist
for some time. As WW 265 expires, and as storms creep southward
with time, local WW extensions may be needed to cover the
persistent/evolving risk.

..Goss.. 05/20/2024

…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…TSA…OUN…

LAT…LON 36199815 36549775 36709727 36379579 35889519 35559583
35489694 35659812 35909821 36199815

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