SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible through midday Sunday over the central Gulf Coast. A second round of strong storms is possible late, though uncertainty is high. ...Central Gulf Coast... The upper trough over east TX is forecast to gradually weaken while moving eastward over the lower MS Valley and central Gulf Coast. An MCS is likely to be ongoing early Sunday over parts of the lower MS Valley. Accompanied by a weak surface low, this convective complex should gradually move eastward with a continued isolated damaging gust threat across southern LA and MS. The MCS should begin to weaken by midday as it outpaces the surface-based warm sector farther east. Isolated strong storms may redevelop over adjacent Gulf waters late Sunday into early Monday morning aided by onshore flow associated with a modest low-level jet expected to develop across southern AL and the western FL Panhandle. It remains unclear if the more unstable surface-based warm sector attendant to a maritime front will move inland in the wake of the earlier MCS/outflow. Should it do so, supercells with isolated damaging gusts and brief tornado potential will be possible over southern AL and the western FL Panhandle into early Monday. ..Lyons.. 10/24/2025
