Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 AM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Valid 271200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... The upper trough over the Gulf Coast is forecast to continue weakening before merging with an upper low over the Atlantic Coast through early next week. Residual moisture and enhanced westerly flow aloft could support some low-end severe risk D4/Monday over parts of the Southeast. However, poor lapse rates and the potential for multiple prior rounds of convection casts significant uncertainty on severe potential. Thereafter, the mid-level flow pattern will gradually amplify as ridging develops over the Southwest. At the same time, broad eastern US troughing is expected to form, intensifying northwesterly flow aloft over the western and central US. A strong cold front will move southward into the Gulf by midweek with strong surface high pressure developing in its wake. Persistent eastern US troughing and high pressure over the central US will favor cooler, drier and more stable surface conditions for the foreseeable future.
