MD 0222 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0222
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025
Areas affected...North Florida and southeast Georgia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 161128Z - 161300Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will spread eastward into
southeast Georgia and north Florida through late morning. A new
tornado watch appears likely.
DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms has persisted overnight from
south central GA into the eastern FL Panhandle, with
occasional/embedded supercell structures. Low-level moistening over
the next few hours and the onset of diurnal heating will drive
destabilization across north FL/southeast GA later this morning.
Though the low-level jet core will develop northeastward toward the
Carolinas through the day, low-level flow/shear will remain
sufficiently strong to support additional supercells through the
morning across north FL/southeast GA. The storms will remain
capable of producing occasional damaging winds and possibly a couple
of tornadoes, and a new tornado watch will likely be needed from
12-13z.
..Thompson/Smith.. 03/16/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 31288133 30368164 29908202 29548247 29388309 29388323
29808337 30538324 31158280 31698236 31748192 31288133
