Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 AM CDT Wed Oct 01 2025
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected tomorrow (Thursday).
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify across the western U.S. as upper
ridging persists east of the Rockies tomorrow (Thursday). With
surface high pressure and associated statically stable conditions
prevailing over the Rockies, and from the MS River to the East
Coast, thunderstorm potential will remain quite low over most
locales. A few lightning flashes may be observed from the southern
Sierra to the northern Rockies, as deep-layer ascent from the
aforementioned mid-level trough will lift a marginally buoyant
airmass. A pocket of colder temperatures aloft will also overspread
the Washington coastline, with a couple of lightning flashes
possible given scant buoyancy. A few thunderstorms may develop
across the Upper MS Valley in association with a passing mid-level
impulse. Lastly, modest low-level moisture will pivot around the
eastern U.S. surface high over the FL Peninsula into the Mid-MS
Valley, which may promote a couple of thunderstorms.
..Squitieri.. 10/01/2025