SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook


Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1134 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Valid 291700Z – 301200Z

No changes were made to the ongoing forecast.

Elevated meteorological fire conditions may extend farther north
(across eastern Utah, western Colorado, and south-central Wyoming)
from the delineated elevated area. Here, a dry airmass will combine
with modest winds (up to 15 mph) to promote elevated meteorological
fire conditions. However, ERC percentiles below 80 indicate that
fuels may be unreceptive to fire or rapid fire spread.

..Marsh.. 05/29/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 0109 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024/

…Synopsis…
A mid to upper-level trough is expected to traverse the
Intermountain West and Great Basin throughout today. West to
southwest surface winds around 15 to 20 mph will again develop
across portions of western NM, and near the Four Corners region, as
a lee surface trough slowly deepens during the afternoon. Low teens
to single-digit RH are anticipated within a deeply mixed air mass,
and will combine with these breezy conditions over increasingly
receptive fuels within the Elevated area. This area was extended
slightly northwestward to include portions of far
southern/southeastern UT, and far northern/northeastern AZ where ERC
percentiles are beginning to creep above 80.

…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product…

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