SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Sat Dec 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible on Sunday across portions of Florida. Severe potential appears low at this time. ...Florida... An upper trough will develop east from the Plains toward the eastern U.S. on Sunday. As this occurs, a belt of 30-40 kt 850-700 mb west/southwest flow will overspread portions of the FL Peninsula atop a quasi-stationary surface boundary extending across north-central FL. Forecast soundings depict elongated hodographs with modestly curved low-level hodographs in the vicinity of the surface boundary during the afternoon into early evening. Surface heating will be somewhat muted by cloud cover, and persistent showers/isolated thunderstorms in the warm advection regime to the cool side of the boundary. Furthermore, midlevel temperatures are forecast to be rather warm, limiting lapse rates, and instability will remain weak (generally less than 500 J/kg MLCAPE). This should largely limit severe potential. However, a stronger, rotating storm offshore from west-central FL could approach the coast during the afternoon/early evening. While a strong gust or waterspout could occur with this activity, over all risk appears too low/conditional, and limited in spatial extent, to include probabilities. ..Leitman.. 12/06/2025
