Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Saturday or Saturday night.
...Synopsis...
Mid-level ridging over the central US is forecast to weaken as
broader troughing over the West begins to move eastward. A
positive-tilt lead shortwave will move from the central Rockies over
the Plains, into the upper OH Valley Saturday and Saturday night.
Lift from this feature will deepen a surface low over the MO Valley
allowing for some return moisture and an increase in low-level warm
advection Saturday night. Weak elevated buoyancy may develop and
support isolated thunderstorms ahead of the trough from eastern
KS/OK into the upper OH Valley. Severe potential appears limited
owing to MUCAPE generally below 500 J/kg and the potential for any
stronger storms to mainly exist beyond 12z Sunday (Day 3).
..Lyons.. 12/26/2025