Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0145 AM CST Sat Dec 27 2025
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Monday or Monday night.
...Discussion...
A deep surface cyclone over Lake Huron at 12Z Monday should
gradually fill as it occludes and tracks into southern QC. Secondary
cyclogenesis should occur over ME into the Canadian Maritimes. The
surface warm-moist sector will be confined to the Southeast, up to
near the VA Tidewater, ahead of a progressive cold front. Guidance
is consistent with negligible instability along/ahead of the front,
which should clear all but the FL Peninsula by late afternoon and
then shift entirely offshore Monday night. Shallow convection is
possible along portions of the front, with thunderstorm
probabilities appearing to be less than 10 percent.
..Grams.. 12/27/2025