SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0615 PM CST Sat Dec 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Discussion... Low pressure will shift eastward across KS tonight and into western MO by Sunday morning, ahead of a cold front surging into the central Plains. Southwesterly low-level winds will maintain warmth ahead of the cold front, with dewpoints to around 60 F spreading northward toward I-70 late. Increasing lift associated with the front and approaching upper trough should instigate scattered thunderstorms over northeast KS and into northern MO, primarily after 09Z. Forecast soundings indicate elevated MUCAPE over 500 J/kg will develop, while deep-layer effective shear remains strong. This may yield a few stronger cells, possibly producing small hail, though the most likely scenario is for hail to remain below severe levels. ..Jewell.. 12/28/2025
