SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not forecast on Thursday or Thursday night. ...Western/central Gulf Coast... Elevated convection is expected to be ongoing Thursday morning along portions of the northwest Gulf Coast, with a surface front likely offshore of the Middle TX to southern LA coasts. Strong deep convection should be relegated along and south of this front in the adjacent coastal waters, which should result in greater southeast displacement of the boundary away from the TX/southwest LA coast during the day. The front could brush extreme southeast LA towards midday/early afternoon, but the bulk of CAM guidance indicates that severe gust/waterspout potential should be confined offshore. With the primary upstream shortwave trough quickly moving from the southern High Plains to the OH Valley and remaining low amplitude, the surface reflection along the outflow-reinforced front will be weak. As such, while severe probabilities may not be zero, they appear too low to warrant a categorical highlight over land. ..Grams.. 12/03/2025
