SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 PM CST Tue Feb 03 2026 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Synopsis... A surface cold front is evident in 00 UTC surface observations extending from Middle TN southwestward to the TX Coastal Plain with thunderstorms ongoing across portions of southeast TX into western LA. This activity is expected to spread southeastward into the northwestern Gulf through 12 UTC in tandem with the surface front. A recent 00 UTC sounding from CRP sampled around 500 J/kg SBCAPE, but the onset of nocturnal cooling should begin to modulate buoyancy heading into the late evening/overnight hours. While forcing along the front will continue to support convection, thunderstorm intensity will likely continue to wane and limit the potential for organized convection given the deteriorating thermodynamic conditions. ..Moore.. 02/04/2026
