SPC Jan 16, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC Jan 16, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0112 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026
Valid 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.
...Southeastern Florida...
An amplified midlevel trough will move across the eastern CONUS
through Sunday evening. The tail-end of a related cold front will
cross the southern FL Peninsula during the afternoon hours.
Along/ahead of the front, sufficient boundary-layer moisture and
buoyancy will support isolated thunderstorms before the front moves
offshore. While moderate deep-layer shear would be sufficient for a
strong storm or two along coastal areas of southeastern FL and the
Upper Keys, current thinking is that limited buoyancy and quickly
veering low-level flow will limit strong-storm potential over land
areas.
..Weinman.. 01/16/2026

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