SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0124 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Synopsis... A mid-level wave traversing the eastern CONUS at the beginning of the period will continue to shift off the East Coast through the day Sunday. A trailing cold front pushing southward along the FL Peninsula will likely support shallow convective showers along the coasts, but warm mid-level temperatures coincident with dry air will limit the potential for deep convection and lightning production. Across the West, broad southwesterly flow will persist along the coast and into the Great Basin. Thunderstorm potential will most likely be confined to central CA and perhaps along the northern CA and OR/WA coasts where cool mid-level temperatures will overspread modest low-level moisture. Weaker low-level wind profiles compared to D2/Saturday should limit the potential for organized convection. Sporadic lightning flashes appear possible further inland across the northern Great Basin given broad-scale ascent and some degree of mid-level cooling, but the signal for appreciable MUCAPE among all guidance is too limited to introduce additional thunder areas. ..Moore.. 01/02/2026
