SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 AM CST Sat Jan 03 2026 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunder potential appears negligible on Monday and Monday night. ...Discussion... A positive-tilt shortwave trough will progress east across the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies, while a separate shortwave impulse shifts south off the central to southern CA coast. Buoyancy will be minimal in the West, generally confined to coastal CA and parts of the Great Basin. A few lightning flashes are possible in both regions. But with weaker large-scale ascent compared to D2/Sunday, thunder probabilities appear to be less than 10 percent. Elsewhere, conditions will be too dry/stable for lightning-producing convection through the period. ..Grams.. 01/03/2026
