SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. on Monday or Monday night. ...Synopsis... Generally dry and stable conditions are expected to limit thunderstorm potential across the CONUS on Monday. Multiple midlevel shortwave troughs will move across parts of the Great Plains and Southwest, as they reinforce a large-scale trough covering much of the central/eastern CONUS. In response to these shortwave troughs, a weak surface low is forecast to develop across the southern High Plains. Modest low-level moisture return (with dewpoints in the 50s F) will commence across parts of south and central TX, but this moisture is expected to remain insufficient for appreciable surface-based destabilization. Weak elevated buoyancy may develop late in the period from east TX into the ArkLaTex region, but there is currently little to no signal for deep convection prior to the end of the forecast period. ..Dean.. 01/31/2026
