MD 1123 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1123
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0546 AM CDT Sun Jun 02 2024
Areas affected…the Eastern TX Panhandle
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 021046Z – 021145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent
SUMMARY…A supercell over the eastern Texas Panhandle may persist
for a couple more hours as it drifts southward. A confined swath of
large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible. The limited
spatial extent and uncertainty over longevity should preclude a WW
issuance.
DISCUSSION…Along the trailing outflow from a decayed MCS and
remnant MCV over north-central OK, a supercell formed last hour in
the northeast TX Panhandle. This storm has been rather slow-moving,
drifting southward near 10 kts across Roberts County. Occasionally,
this storm has had echo tops over 50k ft, along with MRMS MESH
around 2 inches. In addition, robust inbound velocities have also
been noted on the west to north side of the deep mesocyclone. With
the Amarillo VWP showing relatively stable 30-35 kt low-level
southerlies, it is plausible that this supercell may persist for at
least a couple more hours as it gradually drifts towards the I-40
corridor.
..Grams/Thompson.. 06/02/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…AMA…
LAT…LON 35910074 35730060 35500036 35270037 35160059 35100088
35330118 35630120 35820115 35910074
