MD 0114 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTH-CENTRAL IL
Mesoscale Discussion 0114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0444 PM CST Thu Feb 08 2024
Areas affected…north-central IL
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 082244Z – 082345Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent
SUMMARY…Localized risk for a brief tornado or two may focus
through 6pm CST across north-central IL.
DISCUSSION…A focused mesoscale corridor across north-central IL is
becoming slightly more favorable for mesocyclones and the potential
for a brief tornado over the next hour or so. The latest forecast
soundings show rapid mid-level cooling (500 mb temperatures plunging
into the minus mid 20s deg C). Surface analysis shows a slightly
more moisture-rich airmass with dewpoints near 50 deg F across
north-central IL. The small surface temperature/dewpoint spreads
and adequate buoyancy and enlarged hodographs all suggest the
potential for a narrow window of opportunity for a brief tornado or
two during the next hour or so.
..Smith/Hart.. 02/08/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…LOT…ILX…DVN…
LAT…LON 41118942 41488880 41418846 41048848 40708902 40638950
40788965 41118942
