MD 1197 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396…397… FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1197
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0905 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024
Areas affected…Parts of northwest into central KS
Concerning…Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396…397…
Valid 080205Z – 080300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396, 397
continues.
SUMMARY…Wind gusts of 65-80 mph remain possible this evening as a
storm cluster moves east-southeastward, along with some potential
for hail and possibly a tornado.
DISCUSSION…An earlier supercell cluster across northwest KS has
shown some signs of accelerating east-southeastward, with less of a
discrete character compared to earlier this evening. This may
indicate a transition to more of a severe-wind threat, as evidenced
by recent mesonet gusts of 60-80 mph across Trego County, KS.
Despite a tendency for gradually increasing CINH with time tonight,
a strengthening southerly low-level jet (as noted on the KICT VWP)
may help to sustain this cluster as it moves east-southeastward,
with a continued short-term threat for severe gusts potentially in
the 65-80 mph range. In addition, increasing low-level shear/SRH
with time and southeastward extent could support the threat of a
tornado. MLCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg and strong effective shear
will also continue to support a hail threat with any stronger cells
embedded within the cluster as it approaches parts of central KS.
..Dean.. 06/08/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…TOP…ICT…GID…DDC…GLD…
LAT…LON 39389949 38949766 38319761 38239819 38339881 38559928
38779952 39009975 39389949
