MD 2171 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629… FOR NORTH TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 2171
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0600 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025
Areas affected...North Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629...
Valid 242300Z - 250030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 629
continues.
SUMMARY...A locally greater tornado threat is evident near two
surface boundaries in North Texas.
DISCUSSION...Surface observations show a warm front near the Red
River and a differential heating boundary farther south, roughly
east-west through the DFW metroplex. With a continued increase in
mid-level ascent, a few storms have been able to intensify ahead of
a large area of stratiform rain in the Rolling Plains. The storm in
Palo Pinto County has shown the most organization and modest
low-level rotation over the last 30 minutes. The KFWS VAD does show
amply low-level hodograph curvature near the differential heating
zone. As long as storms remain discrete, there will be a locally
higher tornado potential near these surface boundaries.
..Wendt.. 10/24/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 32489847 32629853 32899846 33639798 33819778 33789742
33739727 33459730 32829744 32659757 32409777 32379801
32489847
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
