MD 2320 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 725… FOR PARTS OF NORTH FL
Mesoscale Discussion 2320
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1047 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024
Areas affected...Parts of north FL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 725...
Valid 291647Z - 291815Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 725 continues.
SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging gusts and a brief tornado
may persist into early afternoon.
DISCUSSION...The southern portion of a long-lived QLCS is moving
through north FL late this morning. While this portion of the QLCS
has not been very intense, modest downstream diurnal
heating/destabilization (with MLCAPE near/above 500 J/kg) could
result in some uptick in convective intensity into early afternoon.
The primary midlevel shortwave trough is lifting away from the
region this afternoon, but low-level and deep-layer shear will
remain somewhat favorable for organized convection, and locally
damaging gusts remain possible if a more-organized cold pool can
develop. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out, especially near
the intersection of southward-moving outflow and the more
north-south oriented portion of the line across northeast FL.
..Dean.. 12/29/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
LAT...LON 30378209 30558154 30328108 29688104 29318165 29188211
29168264 29238294 29658259 30378209
