MD 0426 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 106… FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0426
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0751 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024
Areas affected…Portions of western North Carolina and southern
Virginia
Concerning…Tornado Watch 106…
Valid 120051Z – 120215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 106 continues.
SUMMARY…The risk for damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes will
continue this evening. Short bowing segments and a few supercells
should continue into south-central VA and central NC tonight. Some
guidance suggests the severe threat may persist beyond WW106 this
evening.
DISCUSSION…As of 0040 UTC, ongoing storms over portions of NC/VA
have produced several reports of damage. Storm organization has
trended towards more liner structures over the last couple of hours
owing to numerous storm interactions. However, more clustered
cellular elements have persisted to the south. The environment ahead
of these storms across parts of south-central VA and west-central NC
remains modestly unstable and strongly sheared with ESRH of 250-400
m2/s2. Rotating structures within the line and broader cluster will
likely remain capable of damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes
into this evening. Recent HRRR guidance also suggests these storms
may continue to pose a severe risk across parts of southern VA and
central NC later this evening. While it is somewhat unclear how far
north/east the risk may continue this evening with weakening
buoyancy and nocturnal cooling, the general environment remains
favorable. Mesoscale trends will be monitored for the need of a
downstream watch should storms maintain intensity.
..Lyons/Thompson.. 04/12/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…AKQ…LWX…RAH…ILM…RNK…GSP…
LAT…LON 35677867 34767954 34847983 35118001 35498028 35838043
36088053 36538059 37068051 37727950 37877904 37857862
37717830 37487815 37127810 36667814 36527822 36007850
35677867
