MD 0617 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER
Mesoscale Discussion 0617
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Areas affected…Western and central Nebraska/Kansas border
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible
Valid 032231Z – 040000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent
SUMMARY…Large hail and damaging winds are possible as storms
continue south-southeastward near the Kansas/Nebraska border. Though
low, a tornado could also occur with stronger, discrete storms. A
watch is possible within the next 1-2 hours.
DISCUSSION…Surface moisture continues to return into southern
Nebraska. Convection in the vicinity of North Platte has deepened
over the last 30 minutes as result. With an expected increase in
low-level southerly winds over the next few hours, low 50s F
dewpoints will likely push into southern Nebraska ahead of the
approaching cold front. Convection that can mature will likely be
sustained by the low-level jet. Large hail and damaging winds will
likely be the primary threats. Surface dewpoint depressions are
enough that the tornado threat should remain low. However, low-level
hodograph curvature will increase this evening and discrete storms
near the theta-e gradient will pose some tornado risk. A watch is
possible within the next 1-2 hours.
..Wendt.. 05/03/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…TOP…GID…LBF…GLD…BOU…
LAT…LON 40820211 41210153 40869836 40299745 39699771 39209888
39100085 39320174 40050249 40820211
