MD 0760 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 0760
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
Areas affected…Texas Panhandle into South Plains
Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely
Valid 121951Z – 122145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance…5 percent
SUMMARY…Isolated large hail and severe gusts will be possible with
the strongest storms in the Texas Panhandle/South Plains.
DISCUSSION…Isolated storms have developed along the dryline as
mid-level ascent has increased this afternoon. With low-level
easterly flow and copious cloud cover ahead of this activity, a very
narrow zone of modest buoyancy has developed. Shear is not
particularly strong with northern extent, but does increase in the
South Plains. The primary risk with these strong to marginally
severe storms will be isolated large hail and severe gusts. Storms
will likely weaken relatively quickly as they encounter the stable
conditions to the east.
..Wendt/Thompson.. 05/12/2024
…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…
ATTN…WFO…LUB…AMA…
LAT…LON 34440154 33860164 33240166 33080190 33100235 33080250
33380263 34000248 34970235 35090227 35990173 36460109
36320059 34440154
