Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CST Wed Nov 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... Major amplification of the eastern CONUS upper trough appears likely this weekend, inducing more southerly cyclogenesis across the North-Central States into the Northeast. A pronounced surface anticyclone will drive an extensive ridge across the central states, aiding in progressive cold front movement across the Southeast late Saturday into Sunday. Ahead of this front, some potential for severe could yet evolve on D5/Sunday as flow fields strengthen atop a plume of seasonably rich surface dew points along the eastern Gulf and South Atlantic Coasts. However, most guidance indicates a fairly dry frontal passage in this region, amid low RH/weak lapse rates in the mid-levels. With a very amplified trough east/ridge west by D6/Monday and a continental airmass overspreading much of the Gulf, severe potential should be minimal early next week.
