SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CST Fri Nov 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not forecast on Saturday or Saturday night. ...Southeast... Forcing for ascent appears nebulous during the day Saturday in the wake of a shortwave trough shifting off the coastal Mid-Atlantic by early afternoon. Minimal convergence is anticipated along the stalled front from the Lower MS Valley to the Carolinas. Thunder probabilities appear quite low on Saturday afternoon outside of the north FL vicinity. Guidance has largely trended towards yesterday's outlier GFS with pervasive low RH in the mid-levels to the south-southeast of a shortwave trough moving from the northern Great Plains to the Mid-MS Valley and Midwest. The attendant surface cyclone track from the Lower MO Valley to the Lower Great Lakes will remain displaced well north of richer boundary-layer moisture that is confined along the Gulf and south Atlantic Coasts. The remnant front over the Deep South will begin to accelerate eastward Saturday night towards the central Gulf Coast States. Weak mid-level lapse rates along the front will hamper buoyancy, with isolated thunder possible towards early morning Sunday. While small hail might accompany a cell or two, the limited instability and progressive nature of the front suggests a broad severe hail area is unwarranted. Additional isolated storms may form in the Carolinas vicinity as a low-level warm conveyor strengthens late. Suppressed MUCAPE here should limit potential for severe hail, although small hail will be possible in the deepest cores. ..Grams.. 11/07/2025
