SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1206 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are expected over parts of the Southeast and central/northern Plains on Monday. Little to no severe storm risk is expected. ...Southern GA into FL... A low-amplitude shortwave trough will continue eastward across the southeastern states on Monday, with southwest winds bringing drying across MS/AL. A quasi-stationary front will stretch from coastal SC across southern GA and into the FL Panhandle, with upper 60s F dewpoints to the south. MLCAPE over 1500 J/kg may develop, aided by cool midlevel temperatures. Scattered daytime storms will develop, with minimal severe potential. Elongated hodographs in the upper levels may aid minimal hail production to an extent, but severe hail is not anticipated due to marginal supercell potential. Damaging winds appear unlikely given mainly cellular storm mode and weak low-level winds. ...Central High Plains... A powerful upper trough will dig southeastward into the area with -20 C at 500 MB by 00Z into northeast CO and western NE. Heating will occur within a pre-frontal surface trough across those areas as well, resulting in very steep lapse rates from the surface to the midlevels. Moisture will be a major limiting factor for any strong to severe storm potential. However, even with low dewpoints, lift along the front, timed with peak heating and beneath exceptional cooling aloft may lead to scattered convection after 21Z. Strong gusts and perhaps very small hail will be possible. ..Jewell.. 10/26/2025
